Decoding tumor mutation burden: A predictor of immunotherapy efficacy across diverse cancer types
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BRAC University
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Abstract
Tumor Mutation Burden (TMB) has become one of the most popular predictive biomarkers to
determine the application of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in cancer treatment, on the
grounds that a higher somatic mutation burden has a higher neoantigen load and, as such, is more
easily recognized by the immune system. TMB has become a solid part of tumor-agnostic clinical
decision-making, with the tumor-agnostic approval of pembrolizumab on solid tumors with TMB
of ten or more mutations per megabase by the United States Food and Drug Administration, but
its predictive capabilities across cancer types, sequencing systems, and pipelines can vary
significantly. This study discusses TMB's biological nature, estimation methods, and clinical
results in diverse cancers using peer-reviewed literature, breakthrough clinical studies, and
regulatory data. The results reveal that TMB is a context-specific but significant biomarker. Its
predictive capacity in classifications with mutational load as the leading driver of immunogenicity
such as melanoma, non-small cell lung cancer, and microsatellite instability-high tumors, but is
diluted in histologies with low mutational loads or in tumors that contain immunosuppressive
microenvironment, intra-tumoral heterogeneity, and other immune-evasion strategies. The lack of
a universally validated cut-off, variability based on platforms and inequities in access to genomic
testing are the main obstacles to wider adoption. TMB is always better predicted with
complementary biomarkers including PD-L1, microsatellite instability, and tumor-infiltrating
lymphocyte signals. It concludes that TMB is part of a multi-biomarker system to select
immunotherapy patients and that future developments will rely on harmonized measurement
standards, histology-specific thresholds, prospective real-world validation, artificial intelligence,
and liquid-biopsy systems.
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This thesis is submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Pharmacy, 2026.
Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 19-28).
Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 19-28).
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