Covid-19 confirmed cases and deaths prediction in Bangladesh using hidden Markov model

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bracu.type.groupResearch Publications
datacite.rightsMetadata Only
dc.contributor.authorDofadar, Dibyo Fabian
dc.contributor.authorKhan, Riyo Hayat
dc.contributor.authorAlam, Md. Golam Rabiul
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-15T04:43:30Z
dc.date.available2026-07-15T04:43:30Z
dc.date.issued1/1/2021
dc.description.abstractThe number of people affected by Coronavirus is quite concerning in Bangladesh. It has become a necessity to forecast the future cases since it involves ensuring adequate resources to help people and imposing strict guidelines to deal with this epidemic. This research is about predicting upcoming COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths from a time series dataset using Hidden Markov Model. The optimal number of hidden states were determined using AIC and BIC. The proposed models are implemented to forecast the daily confirmed cases and daily deaths of Bangladesh for next 90 days.
dc.description.versionPublished
dc.format.extent4 Pages
dc.identifier.citationD. F. Dofadar, R. H. Khan and M. G. Rabiul Alam, "COVID-19 Confirmed Cases and Deaths Prediction in Bangladesh Using Hidden Markov Model," 2021 4th International Conference on Bio-Engineering for Smart Technologies (BioSMART), Paris / Créteil, France, 2021, pp. 1-4, doi: 10.1109/BioSMART54244.2021.9677841.
dc.identifier.doi10.1109/BioSMART54244.2021.9677841
dc.identifier.issn9.78167E+12
dc.identifier.other2-s2.0-85125295321
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10361/28554
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
dc.relation.hasversion10.1109/BioSMART54244.2021.9677841
dc.relation.ispartofBiosmart 2021 Proceedings 4th International Conference on Bio Engineering for Smart Technologies
dc.relation.ispartofseriesBiosmart 2021 Proceedings 4th International Conference on Bio Engineering for Smart Technologies
dc.relation.urihttps://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9677841
dc.subjectCovid-19
dc.subjectHidden markov models
dc.subjectMarkov processes
dc.subjectMaximum likelihood estimation
dc.subjectTime series data
dc.subject.lcshCOVID-19 (Disease)--Bangladesh.
dc.subject.lcshForecasting.
dc.subject.lcshMarkov processes.
dc.titleCovid-19 confirmed cases and deaths prediction in Bangladesh using hidden Markov model
dc.typeConference Proceedings
person.affiliation.nameBRAC University
person.affiliation.nameBRAC University
person.affiliation.nameBRAC University
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57465221700
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57465657400
person.identifier.scopus-author-id26434126600

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