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Unleashing potential: a data-driven exploration of identifying player potentialities through advanced analytics in sports

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Abstract

In this project, we delve deeper into the complex area of predicting a potential replacement of a footballer of a specific position. For that, we used multiple machine learning models on the Sofifa dataset. Our analysis reveals interesting insights into the predictive capabilities of these models, with a particular focus on numerical performance measures. Among the models tested, the LightGBM Regressor appears to be the epitome of predictive power. This algorithm consistently outperforms the others, showing the lowest mean squared error (MSE) and highest R-squared value on both the test data set and the overall data set. Her ability to navigate the complexity of player performance patterns is evident, making her a leader in our prediction arsenal. Complements for Random Forest Regressor, XGBRegressor Regressor, LightGBM Regressor, and CatBoost Regressor demonstrate superior performance, characterized by consistently low MSE values and high R-squared values. These gradient boosting algorithms demonstrate their effectiveness in capturing complex patterns in the Sofia dataset. The Linear Regressor model utilizes its power in understanding the linear releationships among the data and gives a higher accuracy too. The KNeighbors-Regressor, with its proximity-based approach, also achieves stripes, especially by achieving high R-squared values. This model excels at identifying players with similar characteristics, highlighting their collective impact on overall performance. It should be noted that, Support Vector Regressor (SVR) and Neural Network models provide valuable insights, despite relatively lower prediction accuracy. These models highlight the complexity inherent in player forecasting and highlight the need for meticulous parameter tuning. LightBGM Regressor stands out as the superior model for predicting our research, closely followed by XGBRegressor, Random Forest Regressor, CatBoost Regressor. These results highlight the importance of selecting models that match the variation of the data set to accurately and reliably predict performance in soccer analytics.

Description

Cataloged from PDF version of thesis.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 36-37).
This thesis is submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Science in Computer Science, 2024.

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Thesis